Report for Model 9

— for both jointly and separately

2024-10-25

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.00
## LDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dh0           1.01       1.04
## dh1           1.01       1.04
## dl0           1.03       1.12
## dl1           1.00       1.01
## dl2           1.01       1.03
## dl3           1.03       1.11
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.02

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1209.74847 24073.260
DIC3 1150.00435 20874.776
PWAIC 41.32281 1130.462
WAIC 1176.03329 21356.916

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum          1       1.01
## dh0              1       1.01
## dh1              1       1.01
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0a
DIC 1212.56780
DIC3 1149.04492
PWAIC 41.00079
WAIC 1174.90840

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum      1.009      1.045
## dl0          1.046      1.186
## dl1          1.077      1.305
## dl2          0.999      0.999
## dl3          1.075      1.295
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.07

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L7
DIC 24078.92
DIC3 20872.70
PWAIC 1130.17
WAIC 21355.41